Difference between theoretical return and actual return
Difference between theoretical return and actual return
When players choose a slot, they often focus on RTP (Return to Player). This parameter is specified as a percentage and reflects the theoretical return of rates in the long term. However, real results at a short distance can differ significantly from the theory. To understand what to expect from a game, it is important to distinguish between theoretical RTP and the actual return a player receives in a particular session.
What is Theoretical Return (RTP)
RTP is a mathematically calculated metric showing how many percent of all bets placed are returned to players as winnings.
Example: a slot with an RTP of 96% theoretically returns 96 AUD out of every 100 AUD bets, while 4 AUD remain casinos.
The value is calculated from millions or even billions of spin simulations.
Thus, RTP reflects the long-term average return rather than the outcome of a particular gaming session.
What is the real return
The real return is the actual result of the player in a certain period or for a specific amount of bets.
It can be higher or lower than the declared RTP, since it depends on random numbers (RNG) and the length of the game distance.
In a short period, for example, for 50-100 spins, the difference can be very large: someone will receive a large win, and someone will lose the entire deposit.
Why indicators differ
1. Effect of variance (volatility).
In high-volatility slots, winnings can be rare but large. This results in significant deviations from the average RTP in the short term.
2. Random number generator (RNG).
Each rotation is independent and unrelated to previous results, so the actual recoil always fluctuates around the theory.
3. Distance of play.
The greater the number of spins, the closer the real return is to theoretical RTP. With a short game, the difference can be significant.
Examples in practice
In the 97% RTP slot, the player can make 100 spins of 1 AUD and lose the entire deposit if he does not catch a single bonus combination.
Another player in the same slot can win 200 AUD for the same number of spins, getting several successful combinations in a row.
Both results will be correct from the point of view of mathematics, as they reflect the action of chance.
How to interpret RTP correctly
RTP does not guarantee consistent winnings in each session.
This indicator is useful when choosing a long-distance slot: games with RTP below 94% are less profitable.
For players who prefer short game sessions, it is more important to look not only at RTP, but also at volatility, as well as at the frequency of bonuses.
Tips for players
Do not perceive RTP as a guaranteed return in a particular game.
For a long-term game, choose slots with high RTP (96% and higher).
For short sessions, prefer low- or mid-range machines.
Always take into account that the real return depends on the length of the game distance and luck.
Result
The difference between theoretical return and real return is that RTP shows an average of millions of spins, and the player's actual result is determined by chance and distance. Understanding this difference helps to correctly assess expectations from the game and make more informed decisions when choosing slots.
When players choose a slot, they often focus on RTP (Return to Player). This parameter is specified as a percentage and reflects the theoretical return of rates in the long term. However, real results at a short distance can differ significantly from the theory. To understand what to expect from a game, it is important to distinguish between theoretical RTP and the actual return a player receives in a particular session.
What is Theoretical Return (RTP)
RTP is a mathematically calculated metric showing how many percent of all bets placed are returned to players as winnings.
Example: a slot with an RTP of 96% theoretically returns 96 AUD out of every 100 AUD bets, while 4 AUD remain casinos.
The value is calculated from millions or even billions of spin simulations.
Thus, RTP reflects the long-term average return rather than the outcome of a particular gaming session.
What is the real return
The real return is the actual result of the player in a certain period or for a specific amount of bets.
It can be higher or lower than the declared RTP, since it depends on random numbers (RNG) and the length of the game distance.
In a short period, for example, for 50-100 spins, the difference can be very large: someone will receive a large win, and someone will lose the entire deposit.
Why indicators differ
1. Effect of variance (volatility).
In high-volatility slots, winnings can be rare but large. This results in significant deviations from the average RTP in the short term.
2. Random number generator (RNG).
Each rotation is independent and unrelated to previous results, so the actual recoil always fluctuates around the theory.
3. Distance of play.
The greater the number of spins, the closer the real return is to theoretical RTP. With a short game, the difference can be significant.
Examples in practice
In the 97% RTP slot, the player can make 100 spins of 1 AUD and lose the entire deposit if he does not catch a single bonus combination.
Another player in the same slot can win 200 AUD for the same number of spins, getting several successful combinations in a row.
Both results will be correct from the point of view of mathematics, as they reflect the action of chance.
How to interpret RTP correctly
RTP does not guarantee consistent winnings in each session.
This indicator is useful when choosing a long-distance slot: games with RTP below 94% are less profitable.
For players who prefer short game sessions, it is more important to look not only at RTP, but also at volatility, as well as at the frequency of bonuses.
Tips for players
Do not perceive RTP as a guaranteed return in a particular game.
For a long-term game, choose slots with high RTP (96% and higher).
For short sessions, prefer low- or mid-range machines.
Always take into account that the real return depends on the length of the game distance and luck.
Result
The difference between theoretical return and real return is that RTP shows an average of millions of spins, and the player's actual result is determined by chance and distance. Understanding this difference helps to correctly assess expectations from the game and make more informed decisions when choosing slots.
