Do multipliers affect win rates

Do multipliers affect win rates

Introduction

Players often wonder: if there are win multipliers in the slot, does this increase the chance to win more often? At first glance, it is logical to assume that an increase in the coefficient should affect the very probability of payments. However, in practice, multipliers do not change the frequency of winnings, but only transform the structure and distribution of payments. In order to properly understand mechanics, it is important to distinguish between winning frequency and winning amount.

What is win rate

Hit Frequency is an indicator that reflects how often a player receives any payout, regardless of its value. For example, if the frequency is 25%, then on average every fourth bet leads to a win.

The frequency is determined by the mathematical model of the slot laid down by the provider.
It does not change due to additional visual features or effects.
Multipliers are built into the payoff mechanics, but do not change the probability of the combinations themselves.

How multipliers work

A multiplier is a factor that is applied to a win that has already occurred. He can:
  • double or triple the winnings;
  • increase with each series of cascade combinations;
  • bind to a Wild-symbol or bonus round;
  • accumulate and apply to the total.

That is, the multiplier affects the size of the win, but not the probability of a combination that activates it.

Why multipliers don't change how often you win

1. Random Number Generator (RNG)

Each rotation is completely independent of the previous one.
The multiplier can increase the payout, but does not interfere with the work of the RNG.

2. Fixed probability table

The frequency of wins is set by the algorithm: which characters and how often should appear.
Adding a multiplier only changes the total amount for a match, not the probability of the match itself.

3. Distribution of winnings

Multipliers shift the balance towards rare but large payouts.
As a result, the winnings may seem brighter, although their frequency remains the same.

Impact of multipliers on player experience

Although the frequency of winnings does not change mathematically, the multipliers create the effect that winnings happen "more significantly":
  • the player is more likely to remember large payouts than small ones;
  • visual and sound effects of multipliers enhance the sense of luck;
  • even a rare gain with a multiplier is perceived as compensating for several losses in a row.

Thus, the multipliers change the emotional perception of the frequency of winnings, although statistically it remains unchanged.

Implementation examples

Gonzo's Quest (NetEnt): Multipliers grow with cascades, but the chance of combinations does not change.
Jammin" Jars (Push Gaming): Multipliers on banks can reach hundreds, but the probability of cluster drops is fixed.
Extra Chilli Megaways (Big Time Gaming): progressive multipliers increase with each winning streak, but the very chance of getting combinations is set by Megaways mechanics and does not depend on the coefficient.

Conclusions for players

Multipliers do not increase the frequency of winnings. The probability of falling out of combinations is always determined by the RNG and remains unchanged.
They only affect the amount of payments and the distribution of winnings over time.
Emotionally, multipliers create the illusion of "more frequent" wins, as the player remembers large winnings better.
For slot analysis, it is important to look not only at the presence of multipliers, but also at parameters such as RTP, volatility and frequency of payments.

Conclusion

Multipliers in slots are a gain-enhancing tool, not a factor that affects probability. They do not change the frequency of combinations, but make rare wins more impressive. For the player, this means that the multipliers give dynamics and entertainment to the process, but you should not count on the fact that with their appearance wins will become more frequent.